Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.433493 0.499836 0.571949 0.656028 0.751231 0.855550 0.978375
2025-09-21 0.311102 0.399363 0.504760 0.639289 0.805768 1.004312 1.258252
2025-09-28 0.242817 0.337841 0.459528 0.625493 0.844464 1.121811 1.497748
2025-10-05 0.207293 0.308086 0.444710 0.641251 0.914110 1.276464 1.790346
2025-10-12 0.186054 0.292724 0.444535 0.673045 1.004180 1.461633 2.135126
2025-10-19 0.165149 0.273832 0.435569 0.689251 1.071340 1.618153 2.450427
2025-10-26 0.145859 0.254064 0.421952 0.695524 1.122483 1.753546 2.743508
2025-11-02 0.128323 0.234265 0.405268 0.694110 1.160124 1.869861 3.014733
2025-11-09 0.112017 0.214019 0.385065 0.684092 1.182036 1.962204 3.254165
2025-11-16 0.098209 0.196051 0.366229 0.673657 1.201143 2.049942 3.490557
2025-11-23 0.084632 0.176514 0.342240 0.651483 1.197905 2.100387 3.669174
2025-11-30 0.081170 0.175490 0.350742 0.686477 1.293966 2.318541 4.133989
2025-12-07 0.070729 0.159621 0.330720 0.668852 1.297993 2.385415 4.355690
2025-12-14 0.061630 0.145184 0.311753 0.651217 1.300412 2.449728 4.577908
2025-12-21 0.054156 0.133021 0.295680 0.637144 1.307561 2.521889 4.817340
2025-12-28 0.050575 0.128837 0.295095 0.653165 1.372262 2.700503 5.255876
2026-01-04 0.048800 0.128487 0.302347 0.685496 1.470664 2.946431 5.830331
2026-01-11 0.045784 0.124785 0.302002 0.701974 1.538906 3.140428 6.320648
2026-01-18 0.042261 0.119326 0.297160 0.708353 1.587090 3.299209 6.754147
2026-01-25 0.038540 0.112799 0.289135 0.706915 1.618797 3.427793 7.137132
2026-02-01 0.034637 0.105189 0.277710 0.696729 1.631142 3.518916 7.452760
2026-02-08 0.031133 0.098085 0.266627 0.686118 1.641469 3.606203 7.765288
2026-02-15 0.027352 0.089586 0.251110 0.663569 1.623740 3.635236 7.963200